End of the Union

No not the United Kingdom, but the European Union, with the Germans pushing for greater financial integration, were all national budgets are agreed by the EU before they are put to national parliaments.
If this is agreed by the 27 EU member states, and if there is no complete opt out for the UK. If the UK cannot get an opt to every single clause in the new agreement, this will cause a referendum in the UK, as detailed in the Coalition agreement.
What are the odds that the most euro-secptic nation in Europe voting yes, to any further loss of powers to the EU, I would say the chances would be slim.
So were would that leave us, there would have to be a re negotiation of the treaty after the no vote, which if there still no complete opt out would require another referendum, with similar odds as the first one in passing.
So we've twice voted against the new treaty, do re negotiate again, knowing without a complete opt out, that there would have little chance of a yes vote, so that leaves us in my opinion with only 1 option and that is to have a vote on whether we stay in the EU or not.
Which I think would lead to us voting to leave the EU.

Dark Lord